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人類行為研究/第3類知識創新_TX取用模式 Human's Behavior Research: An Innovation on the 3rd Knowledge_ TX Adoption Models
原址: tx.liberal.ntu.edu.tw
統雄樂水
人類 行為研究/第3類知識 創新

吳統雄的更多創作
正在播放:吳統雄作品《點燭》,請點擊音符圖示欣賞他更多作品。 Now Playing: "Lighting up the Candle" by Sean TX Wu. Click the music icon for more of his works.

知識光譜

科學知識有如光譜,可分3類:「物理-生理-人類行為」知識,因其觀察對象與可預測程度不同,而方向有所區隔。然其間連通之元素,即為計量方法。 

本定位乃相對框架知識、分科知識而言。

前往知識管理與研究方法互動群組-Goto the KM & Methodology Interactive Workgroup

接龍實驗:不同的思想方法

統雄能夠提出非等機率事件的計量方法嗎?

邀請您快速的體驗「創新」的學習與實踐。

非等機率事件的計量方法
這不是玩遊戲,而是解決:大型複雜組合決策的問題。

人類認知取用行為小實驗

請問:是太陽繞地球轉?還是地球繞太陽轉?

請再問:為什麼? Galileo的證據在那裡?

solar system

你會發現:每個人都知道是地球繞太陽轉,但絕大多數人都不知道理由是什麼。

這個現象就是「TX取用模式」:人靠「社會相信」取用為多,靠證據取用為少。

現代人和16世紀的人類認知內容結論相反,但認知的本質與方式仍然完全相同。

人類的結構性認知取用行為,不因時間、地域而不同,所以人類行為是可以預測的。


多數人是靠「社會相信」:教科書上說、有名人說、大家說。

少數人是靠「理性抉擇」:收集證據、分析證據、比較證據。

在臨界點-Galileo被認同之前:他的知識是「潛移默化」的,只有極少數人有興趣。

在臨界點-Galileo被認同之後:他的知識變成「集體行為」,多數人並不知道其內涵,但卻當成背誦與信仰。

 

為什麼個體之間有以上差別:

個人對取用物之需求、興趣的交互作用。

社會資源分配:改變、與維持力量的抗衡。


Features of This Site

This site proposes the concept of a Rainbow Spectrum of Knowledge, suggesting that in addition to "Type I: Physical Knowledge" and "Type II: Physiological Knowledge," a "Type III: Behavioral Knowledge" is needed. While these three types differ in their orientation, they are interconnected by "Quantitative Thought and Quantitative Methods," forming a complete, rainbow-like spectrum of knowledge.

What is Scientific Knowledge?

This site defines "scientific knowledge" as possessing two realms:

•
First Realm: Theories that are predictable (including measurable) and empirically verifiable repeatedly.

•
Second Realm: Theories that can be controlled, or (for humans) can exert a subtle, pervasive influence.

Based on this definition, current research in management science concerning human behavior, and various peripheral humanities and social studies, though often labeled as scientific, have not yet fully achieved the status of scientific knowledge. The ideas and methods proposed on this site have the potential to elevate "behavioral research" to scientific knowledge.

Current So-Called Humanities and Social Sciences

Without resorting to pedantry, it is evident that if one opens a physics textbook and follows its instructions, most predictions can be made and empirically verified. Opening a biology textbook yields a considerably high proportion of predictions and verifications for more than half of its content. However, for textbooks on human behavior—be it economics, management, politics, or aesthetics—the proportion of predictable and verifiable content appears to be quite low.

Nevertheless, in the current (or perhaps inherently human) educational ecosystem, "knowledge" is often treated as something to be memorized rather than practiced. This is particularly true in the humanities and social sciences, necessitating a re-understanding of the essence of "knowledge."

The generation of knowledge should be based on sound epistemology and methodology.

The Spectrum of Knowledge

Types of knowledge resemble a rainbow spectrum, roughly divisible into three distinct yet interconnected blocks, or three types of knowledge.

Their differences lie in the nature of the observed objects, the quantitative tools used, and the predictive efficacy achievable by these tools. Their interconnectedness stems from the inherent continuity of quantitative tools at a fundamental level.

To the far left is generally experienced physical knowledge, which is causal. The observed objects invariably possess "Reflexive Property of Equality" and "Addibility." Using highly effective, narrowly defined Euclidean-Newtonian mathematics as a quantitative tool, it can achieve "point prediction." Professor Wu suggests this be named Type I Knowledge.

In the middle is physiological knowledge, which also includes probabilistic knowledge of high-energy phenomena. Observed objects exhibit "equal probability" and "normal distribution" properties. Inferential statistics (not descriptive statistics) are used as quantitative tools to achieve "interval prediction." Although inferential statistics are based on calculus, their interpretation of observed and measured numbers is profoundly different. Professor Wu suggests these be considered distinct thought processes and knowledge types, named Type II Knowledge.

The Two Cultures

However, in current general societal cognition, these two types are often merged into natural scientific knowledge, contrasting with human behavioral knowledge on the right side of the spectrum.

Human behavioral knowledge, positioned further to the right, despite being labeled as humanities and social sciences, still lacks widely accepted "fundamental laws" (such as Newton's laws of mechanics, or Watson's DNA theory and Sanger's sequencing methods). Many thinkers even doubt the existence of this spectrum. Plato once explained science and humanities as two separate circles, with the left representing Truth and the right representing Belief, and only their intersection yielding Knowledge. Snow's observation further argued that these two circles have no intersection, existing as distinct "two cultures" at opposite poles.

This "two cultures" phenomenon is particularly evident within the academic community of current "humanities and social sciences." One faction completely avoids numbers; the other uses quantitative methods, or broadly, behavioral research methods.

However, current behavioral quantitative research, in its theoretical model construction and quantitative methods, almost entirely relies on tools developed from Type I and Type II knowledge, which may not align with the fundamental nature of behavioral knowledge.

For instance, many behavioral studies are explicitly or implicitly built upon "stimulus-response theory" and "rational choice theory." Yet, Professor Wu's long-term empirical observations suggest these are not universally applicable facts. Furthermore, many renowned quantitative methods in behavioral research, such as the fundamental "exponential growth model" (Y=Ce^βt) used to predict economic prosperity, upon closer examination, reveal that the environmental variable 'e' (i.e., whether it will grow exponentially with the natural logarithm as its base) is controllable and exists in physical environments like temperature. However, its existence in human society is highly questionable. We frequently hear of governments "revising" economic forecasts. If these were truly scientific knowledge with predictive power, such frequent "revisions" would not occur. A "revision" implies an adjustment based on recent phenomena, and the occurrence of recent phenomena reflects that the "prior prediction" was, in fact, devoid of predictive power. That is, many behavioral quantitative models are merely "descriptive statistical records" of past events, lacking true forward-looking predictive capability.

For further discussion, please refer to "Reflections on the Fundamental Ideas of Human Behavior."

Moreover, despite the efforts of so many advanced intellects, a satisfactory paradigm has yet to be found. If we continue to follow the same direction, it might be in vain. We may need the courage to explore the possibility of "different thought processes."

Exploration and Experimental Examples of Type III Knowledge

Therefore, Professor Wu's international research team proposes that the exploration of human behavior—more precisely defined as "human adoption behavior"—should constitute Type III Knowledge. This knowledge possesses "non-equal probability" and "S-shaped growth curve" characteristics. Utilizing Professor Wu's developing "TX Adoption Model" and "Type III Behavioral Quantitative Method (Behaviometrika) – Dynamic, Quasi-Hyperbolic Probabilistic Projection Analysis" as quantitative tools, it can achieve "type and trend prediction."

This team has also demonstrated, through several easily understandable experiments, that problems generally considered "impossible" can be solved using different thought processes and quantitative methods.

Solitaire Experiment: A Non-Equal Probability Quantitative System

Taking "Spider Solitaire" as an example: with a total of 4 suits, 8 decks, and 104 playing cards, predicting how to complete the sorting when only 10 cards are known and the rest are unknown. Professor Wu's team is the only one globally to have empirically achieved this goal, having demonstrated it at universities such as Shih Hsin, National Taiwan University, and National Tsing Hua University. Invitations for live demonstrations from other institutions are welcome.

While solutions for some "non-equal probability" problems have existed in the past, such as one-way chi-square, Bayesian analysis, and Markov chains, their problem-solving capabilities have been very limited, subjective, and unable to demonstrate "repeated empirical verification."

The Solitaire Experiment showcases a "4-parameter, non-equal probability theory" (relative to the general 3-parameter probability theory) and over 20 years of accumulated "repeated empirical verification." This represents the first "non-equal probability quantitative system" in history to provide such evidence.

Google Ranking Experiment: Type III Behavioral Quantitative Method and Subtle Influence

By analyzing online user behavior with the "Type III Behavioral Quantitative Method (Behaviometrika)," this research has fostered an "S-shaped growth curve" in click-through behavior. As a result, this website, unconstrained by cultural or linguistic barriers, has achieved global top rankings on Google for both English and Chinese keywords, exceeding 3,000 keywords at one point, with over 800 simultaneously ranking, including a #1 ranking among billions of pages! This makes it the only individual website in the world to achieve such a feat. These results have been demonstrated at universities including Shih Hsin, National Taiwan University, National Chengchi University, National Tsing Hua University, and Tunghai University.

This experiment further proves that behavioral research, including various non-equal probability events, can not only satisfy the first realm of scientific knowledge but also achieve the second realm of subtle influence on global human adoption behavior.

However, this is foundational knowledge research, and few globally are contemplating such problems. Moreover, the history of science demonstrates that the general public finds it easier to believe in "evolutionary knowledge" than to understand "revolutionary knowledge."

This research may need to seek opportunities for commercial models to gain broader societal recognition.

測量測量Measurement

Prediction must first rely on measurement. The simplest abstract expression for prediction is: to predict Y with X. Describing and comparing the units or characteristics of X and Y is "measurement." Classically and narrowly defined, X and Y are physical objects, and their measurement results are directly measured numbers, such as height and weight. In modern, broader terms, X and Y can be events or "constructs" (i.e., invisible, existing traits), and their measurement results might be "indirectly measured numbers," such as IQ. The process of measurement is called quantification. The complete procedure for designing measurement tools, implementing quantification, and obtaining measured numbers is "Quantitative Methods." Therefore, science must possess quantitative methods in a broad sense.

Reflexivity and Additivity: The Foundation of Type I Knowledge Quantification

Reflexivity and additivity are the first and second axioms among the five fundamental axioms in Euclid (325 BC – 265 BC)'s Elements:

1.
Things which are equal to the same thing are also equal to one another.

2.
If equals be added to equals, the wholes are equal.

An "axiom" is a judgment that is "self-evident." The other three axioms can be considered extensions of these two basic axioms:

1.
If equals be subtracted from equals, the remainders are equal.

2.
Things which coincide with one another are equal to one another.

3.
The whole is greater than the part.

However, we can observe that Euclid (including later Galileo and Newton) fell into an unconscious way of thinking (or epistemology), which was to limit the objects of observation and measurement to "matter" and "physics." Reflexivity and additivity are self-evident only for "matter, physics." Biological, physiological phenomena, and human behavioral phenomena do not possess reflexivity and additivity. If the foundation is incorrect, all constructions built upon it will not be correct. Therefore, narrow, i.e., Euclidean-Newtonian mathematics, can only be applied to physical measurement, which is the "Type I Knowledge Quantification Method."

Normal Distribution and Passing 5 Hurdles: The Foundation of Type II Knowledge Quantification

Physiological and life phenomena do not possess reflexivity and additivity, but they do exhibit normal distribution. For statistics to have inferential validity, it must pass 5 fundamental hurdles.

Activities occurring during the "data collection" phase:

There are 3 major prerequisites: randomness, sample size, and sampling method.

And during the "data analysis" phase:

There are 2 major fundamental concepts: normal distribution and the Central Limit Theorem (distribution of sample means). These two are crucial keys to understanding that statistics is not intuitive but involves "reverse thinking." Please refer to the "Research Methods Series," "Mathematics Fun Learning Series," and Professor Wu's specialized article on "Statistical Mastery and Yi Jin Jing."

Non-Euclidean Geometry: Spherical and Hyperbolic Geometry: The Foundation of Type III Knowledge Quantification

In Elements, before the 5 fundamental axioms, there are 5 postulates explicitly stated right after the definitions. "Postulates" are also "self-evident," and are common sense that does not even require judgment to be "self-evident." (Modern mathematics now considers postulates as axioms.)

1.
To draw a straight line from any point to any point.

2.
To produce a finite straight line continuously in a straight line.

3.
To describe a circle with any center and radius.

4.
That all right angles are equal to one another.

5.
That, if a straight line falling on two straight lines makes the interior angles on the same side less than two right angles, the two straight lines, if produced indefinitely, meet on that side on which are the angles less than the two right angles.

The Fifth Postulate is also known as the "Parallel Postulate." The Russian mathematician Nikolai Ivanovich Lobachevsky (1792-1856) discovered that it is not self-evident. He pointed out that on a "hyperbolic surface"—often exemplified by a saddle, or a cymbal—the "Parallel Postulate" does not hold. This led to the concept of "Non-Euclidean Geometry." Non-Euclidean geometry was later developed into "Spherical Geometry" by the German mathematician Georg Friedrich Bernhard Riemann (1826-1866), which can be said to have overturned even the first and second axioms.

Professor Wu believes that Non-Euclidean geometry, specifically spherical and hyperbolic geometry methods, form the foundation for developing Type III Knowledge Quantification Methods for human behavior. Therefore, the construction of the "TX Adoption Model" is entirely based on the principles of Non-Euclidean geometry.


「第3類知識」,人類行為的「TX取用模式(TX Adoption Models)」第3類知識簡介

「第3類知識」,人類行為的「TX取用模式(TX Adoption Models)」第3類知識源起

「第3類知識」,人類行為的「TX取用模式(TX Adoption Models)」第3類知識基礎建構

「第3類知識」,人類行為的「TX取用模式(TX Adoption Models)」第3類知識進階建構

TX取用模式的應用

知識探險的光明與黑暗

「因果-機率-TX取用模式」知識之別

「不同的知識」須使用「不同的計量工具」

框架知識


紫竹林網路群組:

The alias of this site, Purple Woo, is a legacy spanning three decades. Originally conceived as a digital 'cove' (塢, Wu), it draws inspiration from the Purple Bamboo Woo, the sacred dwelling of Guan Shih Yin, the Goddess of Wisdom, who possesses the methodology to alleviate human suffering.

In contemporary English, 'woo' is often used as a slang term for fringe beliefs. However, we embrace this linguistic tension. Here, Woo represents the tireless 'wooing' of truth through rigorous evidence—a sanctuary for interdisciplinary insight. As history proves, yesterday's 'woo'—much like Galileo's once-heretical visions—frequently becomes tomorrow's foundational truth.

 

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創用 CC 授權條款 此作品衍生自「統雄網路社群 TX Web Community」,由 吳統雄 Sean TX Wu 製作,以 創用CC 姓名標示-非商業性-相同方式分享 3.0 Unported 授權條款 釋出。此條款之授權同時適用於 https://seantxwu.pages.dev/ 下,與 http://tx.shu.edu.tw 下,除特別標明外之所有媒體形式著作物。
本網群為公益服務,瀏覽者須接受以下聲明方可瀏覽: 著作權聲明-Copyright © 吳統雄: 申請引用資訊- 免責聲明- 鳴謝:本網路社群之開發曾受國內外機構、包括臺灣大學補助。

Copyrights of TX Web Community This is a public service web community under a "Creative Commons" license. You must accept the following statements before entering: Copyright © Sean TX Wu, All Rights Reserved. Request for Citation, Disclaimer, and Acknowledgement.
內容網站:提供與分享各種知識、資訊、作品。互動群組:社員可以討論、展示、交流、企畫、分工、管理、投票決策。合作群組:Web2.0的民主自治精神,社員可以參與決定群組的內容與表現形式。

吳統雄的音樂-Sean TX Wu's Music  笑話中學美語-Humor and American English Learning   私人來信-Write a private mail to Sean TX Wu  留言與討論 Leave Comments/ Forum 吳統雄的相簿-Sean TX Wu's Album

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統雄網群的Google排行本站Google排行榜‧全球冠軍
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統雄-統計神掌 因素分析篇
性幻想行為簡說:格雷的五十道陰影
作業流程圖範例
UML
:統一塑模語言與流程圖

信度與效度分析
統雄-統計神掌 共變數分析篇
統雄-統計神掌 調節模型篇
統雄-統計神掌 多元迴歸篇
投考-甄試研究所之自傳秘笈
統雄-統計神掌簡單迴歸/相關分析
統雄-統計神掌 變異數分析篇
MIS:管理資訊系統
多氯聯苯大追兇
和聲與和弦進行設計
統雄-統計神掌SPSS篇
統雄-統計神掌中介模型分析篇
學術論文寫作法
統雄-統計神掌因素效度分析篇
研究所甄試之研究計畫秘笈
統雄-統計神掌多變項精華篇
問卷設計流程圖-範例
電子郵件亂碼的解決
統雄-統計神掌易筋經
定量方法對定性方法
統雄-統計神掌因徑/結構方程模型1
六藝:多元學習的詮釋與實踐
個案研究法/參與觀察法
文獻研究法
和聲與和弦分析
實驗法、準實驗法
歷史記錄

在「點閱數」前50%以內,剔除工具頁(如SharePoint應用)、簡介頁(如統雄曲目)、互動頁(如討論區)、與已經出現在同屬「年度20大點閱數」之頁。

網路使用行為研究方法
視訊後製作程序
爸爸
大學青年‧網路雜誌
網頁3大基本語言與編輯軟體
科學知識產生的程序
打二房別亂了套 
1篇30年後引起迴響的文章
向老大哥WGA說不! 
知識美學與數位美學 
我,被禁唱的民歌手
金蟠桃 第一幕 樂園
偶然、或然、必然 音樂劇4
接龍實驗-結果討論
MIS專案進度管理甘梯圖
知律,破律,又合於律
真實美語/生活英語選
當代流行歌 又吵又欠缺變化
職業化快閃影片創作品析
驗證式SEM解析篇-計畫行為論
歷史記錄

這裡有我在30餘年教學經驗中的學習與分享。

教改‧我先走了三十年教改‧我先走了三十年
教學的理念、實踐與感受教學的理念、實踐與感受
其實,每個人都可以唸臺大其實,每個人都可以唸臺大
2012總統選舉預測 2012總統選舉預測
大任務‧小使者大任務‧小使者
Fulbright Project Fulbright Project
統雄老師領導的美國喬治亞理工
Adoption Model國際研究群
Westgate FraudWestgate Fraud
e世代公共服務新聞宣言e世代公共服務新聞宣言
虛擬整合校園虛擬整合校園
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